Strategy · nhl-conf55-edge2-favorite-byimplied_prob-top1

In NHL, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 3
Days active: 3
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 0 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 0.0%
ROI: -33.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: -176.8%
Units: -1.00u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: 0.00u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 0
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-24 → 2026-06-09

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 52
Days active: 45
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 11 / 11 / 0
Win rate: 50.0%
ROI: 180.6%
Wilson-LB ROI: -91.4%
Units: +93.90u
Max drawdown: +6.82u
Best 30d: +50.00u
Worst 30d: -6.32u
Longest win streak: 2
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-10-11 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-09	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesHurricanes @ Golden Knights	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	nhl	in ledger	AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	nhl	in ledger	AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights	-148	loss	-1.00u

3 most-recent picks shown.