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Strategy · nhl-conf55-edge2-underdog-away-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NHL, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, underdogs only, away only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
96
Days active
81
Wins / Losses / Pushes
58 / 29 / 0
Win rate
66.7%
ROI
-29.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
-38.5%
Units
-27.84u
Max drawdown
+27.98u
Best 30d
0.00u
Worst 30d
-9.64u
Longest win streak
10
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-10-07 → 2026-03-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "away",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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