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Strategy · nhl-conf55-edge5-favorite-home-byedge-top10pct

In NHL, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 5%, favorites only, home only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
18
Days active
17
Wins / Losses / Pushes
5 / 6 / 0
Win rate
45.5%
ROI
534.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-275.2%
Units
+96.22u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+50.68u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-05-06

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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