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Strategy · nhl-conf60-edge5-favorite-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In NHL, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 5%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: NHL · Registry version 1 · Low sample
This rule is equivalent to 3 other spellings
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nhl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.6
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nhl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.6
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nhl"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.6
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 15
- Days active
- 15
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 3 / 6 / 0
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- ROI
- 302.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -419.6%
- Units
- +45.42u
- Max drawdown
- +4.58u
- Best 30d
- +48.00u
- Worst 30d
- -2.00u
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2025-12-20 → 2026-05-07
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nhl"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.6
}
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