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Strategy · nhl-conf65-edge2-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NHL, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 2%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
130
Days active
128
Wins / Losses / Pushes
90 / 40 / 0
Win rate
69.2%
ROI
-27.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-34.4%
Units
-35.46u
Max drawdown
+34.50u
Best 30d
-0.02u
Worst 30d
-12.66u
Longest win streak
12
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-10-08 → 2026-05-07

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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