Strategy · nhl-conf65-favorite-byimplied_prob-top1

In NHL, confidence ≥ 65%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 3
Days active: 3
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 2 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 66.7%
ROI: -3.1%
Wilson-LB ROI: -211.8%
Units: -0.09u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: +0.91u
Worst 30d: -0.09u
Longest win streak: 2
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-22 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 30
Days active: 30
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 19 / 8 / 0
Win rate: 70.4%
ROI: 165.9%
Wilson-LB ROI: -176.0%
Units: +49.78u
Max drawdown: +3.25u
Best 30d: +48.41u
Worst 30d: -3.06u
Longest win streak: 5
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2026-02-28 → 2026-05-14

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-30	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes	-238	win	+0.42u
2026-05-23	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes	-205	win	+0.49u
2026-05-22	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes	-205	loss	-1.00u

3 most-recent picks shown.