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Strategy · nhl-conf70-edge5-underdog-home-byimplied_prob-top5

In NHL, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
183
Days active
85
Wins / Losses / Pushes
142 / 41 / 0
Win rate
77.6%
ROI
-20.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-26.0%
Units
-38.16u
Max drawdown
+37.26u
Best 30d
+0.32u
Worst 30d
-17.22u
Longest win streak
22
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-10-11 → 2026-03-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

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