Strategy · nhl-conf75-edge5-underdog-byedge-all

In NHL, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 217
Days active: 86
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 179 / 38 / 0
Win rate: 82.5%
ROI: -15.9%
Wilson-LB ROI: -20.2%
Units: -34.42u
Max drawdown: +34.44u
Best 30d: -0.92u
Worst 30d: -16.04u
Longest win streak: 28
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-10-08 → 2026-03-16

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

No picks yet.

0 most-recent picks shown.