Strategy · nhl-conf75-underdog-byedge-top10pct

In NHL, confidence ≥ 75%, underdogs only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 5 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

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Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 87
Days active: 87
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 76 / 11 / 0
Win rate: 87.4%
ROI: -10.9%
Wilson-LB ROI: -18.2%
Units: -9.48u
Max drawdown: +9.56u
Best 30d: +0.30u
Worst 30d: -3.82u
Longest win streak: 18
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2025-10-08 → 2026-03-16

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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