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Strategy · nhl-edge10-underdog-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In NHL, edge ≥ 10%, underdogs only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.1,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
91
Days active
50
Wins / Losses / Pushes
72 / 18 / 0
Win rate
80.0%
ROI
-18.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
-26.7%
Units
-16.56u
Max drawdown
+16.90u
Best 30d
+0.02u
Worst 30d
-8.52u
Longest win streak
16
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-10-17 → 2026-03-15

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.1
  }
}

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