Strategy · nhl-edge2-underdog-home-byedge-all

In NHL, edge ≥ 2%, underdogs only, home only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.02
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.02
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 332
Days active: 100
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 229 / 87 / 0
Win rate: 72.5%
ROI: -24.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: -28.9%
Units: -82.42u
Max drawdown: +82.48u
Best 30d: +0.02u
Worst 30d: -27.98u
Longest win streak: 22
Longest loss streak: 6
Range: 2025-10-09 → 2026-04-24

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02
  }
}

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