Skip to content

Strategy · nhl-edge5-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NHL, edge ≥ 5%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NHL · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nhl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.05
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
102
Days active
86
Wins / Losses / Pushes
72 / 21 / 0
Win rate
77.4%
ROI
30.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-67.6%
Units
+31.14u
Max drawdown
+11.64u
Best 30d
+45.22u
Worst 30d
-4.80u
Longest win streak
23
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-10-09 → 2026-05-06

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nhl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

No picks yet.

0 most-recent picks shown.